No Illinois
W-L: ( 9-21) PR = 94.1702Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) **-82 1107 H Wisconsin B10 (23-11, 98.2) 72-97 1110 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 59-88 1113 A ILBEN **-62 1118 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 57-70 1121 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 76-59 1125 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 59-77 1202 H Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 64-99 1206 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 55-84 1213 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 79-85 1216 A EWUNI **-64 1220 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 74-73 1231 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 67-81 103 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 73-77 106 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 61-75 113 H Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 59-77 117 A Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 70-68 120 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 77-80 124 H Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 53-58 127 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 85-65 131 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 61-85 207 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 75-74 211 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 52-68 214 H Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 46-88 217 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 72-70 221 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 66-74 224 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 69-79 228 H Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 43-79 303 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 76-** 306 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 55-94
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A LA-Monroe **-82 20 1 0.98
1107 H Wisconsin 72-97 -25 -4 0.00
1110 H Grand Canyon 59-88 -29 -3 0.00
1118 H No Iowa 57-70 -13 -2 0.00
1121 A Loyola Chic 76-59 17 -1 + 2.77
1125 H Austin Peay 59-77 -18 -1 -0.66
1202 H Lindenwood 64-99 -35 0 -1.75
1206 H Bradley 55-84 -29 -2 -0.07
1213 H Elon 79-85 -6 -1 -1.29
1220 A Ce Michigan 74-73 1 0 1.32
1231 H Buffalo 67-81 -14 -1 -0.83
103 H Kent State 73-77 -4 -2 0.00
106 H Toledo 61-75 -14 -2 -0.48
113 H Ea Michigan 59-77 -18 -1 -1.49
117 A Mass 70-68 2 -1 + 3.32
120 H Ohio 77-80 -3 -1 -0.94
124 H Ball St 53-58 -5 0 -1.85
127 A We Michigan 85-65 20 0 + 2.45
131 H Miami (OH) 61-85 -24 -3 0.00
207 A Georgia St 75-74 1 0 1.03
211 H Bowling Grn 52-68 -16 -1 -0.72
214 H Ce Michigan 46-88 -42 0 -1.70
217 A Buffalo 72-70 2 -1 + 3.19
221 H Ohio 66-74 -8 -1 -0.94
224 H Toledo 69-79 -10 -2 -0.48
228 H Ball St 43-79 -36 0 -1.85
303 H Kent State 76-** -26 -2 0.00
306 H Akron 55-94 -39 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Loyola Chic 76-59 17 -1 + 2.77 117 A Mass 70-68 2 -1 + 3.32 127 A We Michigan 85-65 20 0 + 2.45 217 A Buffalo 72-70 2 -1 + 3.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) **-82 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 H Wisconsin (23-11, 98.2) 72-97 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.18 -1.01
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 59-88 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.18 -1.89
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 57-70 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.18 -2.16
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 76-59 -4.97 2.50 0.01 1.18 5.93
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 59-77 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.18 -2.59
3 H Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 64-99 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.18 -3.23
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 55-84 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.18 -2.24
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 79-85 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.18 -2.96
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 74-73 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.18 4.88
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 67-81 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.18 -2.69
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 73-77 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.18 -2.17
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 61-75 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 59-77 -5.21 2.26 -0.01 1.18 -3.08
3 A Mass (17-16, 95.5) 70-68 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.18 7.24
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 77-80 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.18 -2.75
3 H Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 53-58 -5.57 1.90 -0.01 1.18 -3.29
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 85-65 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.18 5.18
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 61-85 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.18 -1.48
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 75-74 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.18 4.18
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 52-68 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.18 -2.62
3 H Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 46-88 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.18 -3.20
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 72-70 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.18 6.93
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 66-74 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.18 -2.75
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 69-79 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 43-79 -5.57 1.90 -0.01 1.18 -3.29
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 76-** -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.18 -2.17
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 55-94 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.18 -1.79
------
-15.62
|
winning pts = 36.7093 losing points = -52.3264
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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